The Indian foreign exchange market was thrown into turmoil today as the Indian Rupee plummeted to an all-time low of ₹95.20 against the US Dollar. The Dollar’s growing strength in global markets, coupled with a sudden surge in crude oil prices, has dealt a severe blow to the Indian currency. This marks the first time the Rupee has breached the ₹95 mark, raising fears of a looming crisis for both the national economy and the pockets of the common man.
The primary driver behind this sharp decline in the Rupee is the fact that crude oil prices in the international market have surged past the $120-per-barrel mark. Oil prices have skyrocketed due to increased pressure exerted by the US on Iran and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Since India imports over 80% of its crude oil requirements, the demand for Dollars has surged, consequently eroding the value of the Rupee. Furthermore, with the likelihood of an interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve diminishing, foreign investors are withdrawing capital from the Indian market to invest in the Dollar. This sell-off by Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) has further intensified the pressure on the Rupee.
Fear Grips the Stock Market
The impact of this free-fall in the Rupee was also palpable on Dalal Street. As trading commenced this morning, both the Sensex and Nifty witnessed a sharp decline. Investors fear that the Rupee’s weakness will drive up input costs for companies, thereby eroding their profit margins.