The main contenders: (L-R) Péter Magyar, Viktor Orbán, László Toroczkai
The latest public opinion poll conducted by the Magyar Társadalomkutató polling institute between December 18 and 19, 2025, shows that the governing Fidesz–KDNP has further increased its lead over its main challenger, the Tisza Party, while the opposition party’s support has reached a ceiling. Based on the survey, a three-party parliament would be formed if parliamentary elections were held this Sunday: in addition to Fidesz–KDNP and the Tisza Party, only the Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (Our Homeland Movement) would enter the legislature.
Based on the survey data, Fidesz–KDNP’s support reached 51 percent among active party voters in December, while the Tisza Party stands at 38 percent. This represents a 13-point difference between the two political forces, that is a further increase compared to the 10-point lead measured in November.
Based on trends in the last three months of the year, the governing parties ended the year on a high note politically: while their lead was 8 percentage points in October, it had widened significantly by December,
reads the poll summary.
Several factors may have contributed to the strengthening of the ruling parties. Researchers at the polling institute state that the increased digital presence of Fidesz-KDNP, Viktor Orbán’s international political activity, and his anti-war tour of the country and its echo in social media may have played a role. In addition, the government’s welfare measures, gradually introduced from the second half of 2025, may also have contributed to the increase in support.
The state of the party race between October and December 2025. Question: Who would you vote for in an election held this Sunday?
Patterned: October 2025; Light: November 2025; Dark: December 2025. Graph: tarsadalomkutato.hu
In the case of the Tisza Party, however, its previous momentum seems to have stalled by December.
The party’s support has stabilized at 38 percent, while several developments have made it difficult to regain political momentum.
The publication of an alleged draft tax package was met with an unfavorable reception, and the primary election process failed to significantly mitigate the image of the party as a “one-man show,” reads the polling institution’s summary. Tisza’s previous rise in popularity stemmed primarily from the erosion of the traditional left-wing parties’ voter base, but it is not yet clear what new social groups the party could appeal to once its reserves are exhausted, the institution notes.
Among the smaller parties, support for the Mi Hazánk Mozgalom remains stable at around the 5% parliamentary threshold, which means that it would currently enter the National Assembly. The left-wing Demokratikus Koalíció (Democratic Coalition – DK) continues to show no signs of meaningful renewal, with support estimated at 2%. The satirical party Magyar Kétfarkú Kutyapárt (Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party) stands at 3 percent, while 1 percent of voters would vote for other parties.
(The survey was conducted by telephone on a sample of 1,000 active party voters. The data are expressed as percentages, with a margin of error of ±3.16 percent. Due to rounding, the total may differ from 100 percent.)
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Via tarsadalomkutato.hu, Featured image: Facebook Péter Magyar, Viktor Orbán, Toroczkai László
