Good morning! Happy Wednesday! Today will be a little unsettled with the chance for some rain showers (but it won’t be raining all the time), and it will be cooler and breezy. The next couple of days, however, look very nice. Today, September 10th, is also the peak of hurricane season. A look at the tropics is below.

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TODAY

Expect cloudy skies through the day with occasional showers and sprinkles, especially between 9AM and 3PM, then we’ll start to dry out. It’ll be cool and breezy today.

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Here’s the weather setup: An area of low pressure off the North Carolina coast will be working northward along a stationary front today and tonight. As it gets a little closer, our shower chances will increase today.

Showers are expected late morning and through the afternoon, the best chance would be along the coastline, more spotty farther inland.

The winds will increase a bit this morning, from the northeast 10-15mph with gusts to 20. It’ll be unseasonably cool today with afternoon highs only in the mid to upper 60s.

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TONIGHT

We’ll trend drier this evening with temperatures falling through the 60s and 50s. We’ll see some clearing late in the night. Lows in the 50s.

TOMORROW

Thursday looks much better…sunny, dry and warmer. That low center and it’s associated fronts will push far enough offshore that we’ll be left with sunny skies.

Afternoon highs on Thursday will be in the mid to upper 70s. With a northerly wind, even the coast will be that warm.

LOOKING AHEAD

That nice weather will continue for Friday as high pressure noses in from Northern New England. We’ll have plenty of sunshine; although it will be a little cooler.

Highs Friday will be in the lower 70s.

TROPICS

September 10th is the climatological peak of hurricane season. On average, based on nearly 60 years of data, this is the busiest day of the year.

Although it is on average the busiest day, it’s not this year. In fact, over the next week or so, we do not expect to see any tropical development. That’s a little unusual, but it happens.

So why have things been so quiet? This time of year, the entire Atlanic basin is where we look for storm development. Dry, dusty air coming off the Saharan desert has helped to prevent storm development in the eastern Atlantic. We have had some weak disturbances move off the African continent, but nothing strong enough to overcome the dry, dusty air.

In addition, especially closer to the United States, we’ve had some fairly strong winds overhead which is not favorable from tropical storm development. Just because the tropics are quiet now, that will likely change. Late September into October is still typically a very busy period in the Atlantic. More storms will likely develop.

-Meteorologist T.J. Del Santo

T.J. Del Santo (tdelsanto@wpri.com) is the weekday morning and noon meteorologist for 12 News. Connect with him on Facebook and Twitter and Instagram and Threads and BlueSky.

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