The 2026 World Cup now has just seven countries remaining, and on Friday, July 10, 2026 we get a high-profile showdown between Spain and Belgium starting at 3:00 p.m. EST at SoFi Stadium. The game will be airing on FOX and FOX One.
The winner of this match will advance to take on France in the Semifinal in Arlington, Texas next Tuesday.
Here is the current outlook for how Polymarket traders view Spain’s chances of advancing to each stage of the 2026 World Cup.
To Advance to…Spain (Yes %)Belgium (Yes %)Semifinals75%26%World Cup Final31%5%World Cup Winner17%2%
Following the latest injury updates, both teams appear to be at full health with the rosters officially set. As a result, the data analysts at Dimers released their Spain-Belgium score prediction after conducting new simulations that took into account every element of matchup data.
The results of Dimers’ simulations were compared to updated sportsbook odds to compile the data-driven Belgium vs. Spain preview below.
Belgium vs. Spain betting preview
Explore the interactive widget below to discover the current spread, over/under, and moneyline betting odds and probabilities for the Belgium-Spain matchup at the SoFi Stadium.
This prediction and best bet for Friday’s World Cup matchup between the Spain and Belgium is from Dimers.com, a dependable source for sports betting predictions.
Check out all the important details on tonight’s game, as well as the best odds sourced from the top sportsbooks in the country.
Game details
Key information on the Belgium-Spain matchup, including where the game is and what time it kicks off.
- Teams: Spain vs. Belgium
- Date: Friday, July 10, 2026
- Time: 3:00 p.m. EST
- Location: SoFi Stadium (Inglewood,Calif.)
- FIFA injuries: Check the latest updates to the official FIFA World Cup injury report
World Cup Friday Odds
Polymarket is one of the best platforms to trade on ahead of the game. Here is the currently outlook of key markets for the Spain-Belgium World Cup Game.
- Spread: Belgium +1.5 (66.5¢), Spain -1.5 (33.75¢)
- Moneyline: Belgium 26.25¢, Spain 74¢
- Total: Over/Under 2.5 goals (53.75¢/46.5¢)
The odds and lines presented here are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Here are our top prediction market options, and available promo codes:
PlatformMLB Eligible?July ’26 Sign-Up BonusVerified Promo CodesPolymarketYes$50CUSE, MASS, OREGON, SILIVE, CLEVEKalshiYes$10SYRACUSE, OREGONLIVE1, MASSLIVE1, SILIVE, CLEVELANDNovigYes$50SYRACUSE, OREGON, MASSLIVE, CLEVELAND
Expert prediction: Belgium vs. Spain
Using trusted data analysis and machine learning, the experts at Dimers have performed 10,000 simulations of Friday’s Belgium vs. Spain matchup.
According to Dimers’ popular predictive analytics model, the Spain are more likely to beat the Belgium at SoFi Stadium. This prediction is based on the model giving Spain a 60.0% chance of winning the game in regulation. It’s important to note that extra time is considered a draw.
Furthermore, Dimers predicts that the the goal total of 2.5 has a 57.6% of going under.
As always, these predictions and probabilities are accurate at the time of publication but are subject to change.
Spain vs. Belgium best bet
Our top pick for Friday’s game is to bet on Spain to Advance (74¢). With around a 60.0% probability or Spain winning or draw, it offers a great edge to capitalize on ahead of the showdown.
This betting advice is formulated through world-class modeling and valuable betting intelligence, designed to help you make more informed investments.
Win prediction for Spain vs. Belgium
Dimers’ predicted final score for the Spain vs. Belgium game on Friday has Spain winning.
This expert prediction is based on each team’s average outcome following 10,000 game simulations, offering a glimpse into the potential outcome.
World Cup player props: Friday
World Cup player prop bets offer a popular way to place wagers on the Spain vs. Belgium matchup without having to bet on the outcome of the game itself.
Dimers, armed with the most reliable information available, projects how each team’s leading players will perform at the SoFi Stadium.
Mikel Oyarzabal headlines the Spain’ scoring efforts with a 34.7% chance of finding the back of the net in this game. Charles De Ketelaere is the name to watch for Belgium, as Dimers projects he has a 14.5% chance of scoring a goal as well.
Projected Box Score for Spain-Belgium
Spain
PlayerFirst GoalAnytime GoalMikel Oyarzabal15.0%34.7%Lamine Yamal11.1%28.1%Alex Baena6.9%18.7%Dani Olmo7.1%18.5%Pedri3.2%9.4%
Belgium
PlayerFirst GoalAnytime GoalCharles De Ketelaere5.2%14.5%Leandro Trossard4.3%11.9%Kevin De Bruyne4.0%11.2%Jeremy Doku3.6%10.2%Hans Vanaken2.8%8.2%
World Cup Friday: Spain vs. Belgium
Get ready for Friday’s matchup between Spain and Belgium, which is scheduled to start at 3:00 p.m. EST. We emphasize that all of the World Cup best bets and World Cup predictions in this article are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the Spain vs. Belgium matchup, and they are accurate at the time of publication. They are intended to assist you make better decisions when placing bets at online sportsbooks.
Please note that when engaging in online betting, it is important to exercise responsible gambling practices and seek reputable sources for the latest and most accurate information.
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