Vincent Marmara’s latest political survey puts Robert Abela 14.2% ahead of Alex Borg in preferred Prime Minister race.

“Among those who voted for the Labour Party in 2022, 86.9% prefer Robert Abela, while 3.0% mentioned Alex Borg. The rest were undecided (5.1%), said none (4.5%), or said ‘others’ (0.5%),” wrote Marmara on Facebook.

On the other hand, among those who voted for the Nationalist Party in 2022, 80.1% prefer Alex Borg, while 3.7% prefer Robert Abela. The remaining respondents were undecided (6.8%), said none (6.6%), or said ‘others’ (2.8%).

After applying the scientific model to those who did not answer, the final results show that 46.9% prefer Robert Abela
32.7% prefer Alex Borg
2.9% prefer others
8.6% prefer no one
8.9% are still undecided.

This gives a 14.2% lead in favour of Labour Party leader Robert Abela.

This survey was conducted between 7th and 13th May through telephone and mobile interviews. The sample consisted of 1,200 people, with a 95% confidence level and a confidence interval of ±2.8%, among individuals aged 16 and over.

The sample was calibrated according to Maltese demographics and how people voted in the 2022 general election in order to achieve maximum accuracy. For those who did not respond, the Multiple Imputation Technique method was use.

What do you make of these numbers?