The Cincinnati Bengals (3-2) travel to face the Baltimore Ravens (4-2) in an AFC North showdown on Sunday, October 25, 2026, with kickoff set for 1:00 PM EDT at M&T Bank Stadium. Dimers’ machine-learning models project a narrow 26-24 Ravens win, and DraftKings has Baltimore as a modest favorite at -148 on the moneyline against +124 for Cincinnati.
A near coin flip on the spread
Dimers has the spread at Bengals +2.5, and Cincinnati covers at a 51.9% probability (49¢ on Novig) against 48.1% for Baltimore (53¢ on Novig). That fits the projected score, which has the Ravens winning by only two points, inside the number. DraftKings sets its spread a half-point wider at Ravens -3 (-102) and Bengals +3 (-118), with the total at 51.5 points (over -102, under -118). Dimers’ projected score adds up to 50, just under that line.
Henry dominates the touchdown market
Derrick Henry has the highest anytime-touchdown probability on the board by a wide margin at 63.5%, and DraftKings has him at -210 to score, the shortest price on either roster. He already has 8 touchdowns this season, per DraftKings. Zay Flowers (40.5%) and Mark Andrews (28.4%) follow for Baltimore, with Lamar Jackson at 27.0%.
For Cincinnati, Ja’Marr Chase (46.9%) and Chase Brown (45.4%) are nearly even at the top. Chase has 4 touchdowns this season and is priced at +105 to score, while Brown is at -110. Tee Higgins is next at 34.3%, followed by Mike Gesicki (22.9%), who also has 4 touchdowns this season, and Samaje Perine (21.3%).
Game details
- Teams: Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens
- Date: Sunday, October 25, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM EDT
- Venue: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, Maryland
- Competition: NFL Week 7
Dimers spread probabilities
TeamCover ProbabilityPriceCincinnati Bengals (+2.5)51.9%49¢Baltimore Ravens (-2.5)48.1%53¢
Predicted score: Bengals 24, Ravens 26
DraftKings odds
MarketSelectionOddsMoneylineBaltimore Ravens-148MoneylineCincinnati Bengals+124SpreadRavens -3-102SpreadBengals +3-118TotalOver 51.5-102TotalUnder 51.5-118
Anytime touchdown probabilities and odds
PlayerTeamDimers ProbabilityDraftKings Anytime TDDerrick HenryRavens63.5%-210Ja’Marr ChaseBengals46.9%+105Chase BrownBengals45.4%-110Zay FlowersRavens40.5%+150Tee HigginsBengals34.3%+150Mark AndrewsRavens28.4%+210Mike GesickiBengals22.9%+380Samaje PerineBengals21.3%+295Ja’Kobi LaneRavens19.8%+295
Bottom line for Bengals vs. Ravens
Baltimore is the favorite on the moneyline and in Dimers’ projected score, but the spread is priced close to even, so neither side has a clear edge. With Henry carrying the strongest touchdown case on the board and Cincinnati’s Chase and Brown close behind, this early look at Week 7 points to a game that could be decided by which offense converts in the red zone.
These projections and odds reflect data available at the time of publication and are subject to change as the week progresses.
Win probabilities and odds reflect model projections and sportsbook data at the time of writing and are subject to change. All times listed are EDT.
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