Tajikistan’s Antimonopoly Service has developed a new methodology for calculating electricity tariffs and submitted the draft to the government for consideration.
According to the agency, the document has already been approved by the relevant ministries and government bodies.
The proposed methodology is intended to establish a transparent procedure for calculating tariffs in the domestic electricity market between power suppliers and end consumers.
The draft has not yet been published, so it remains unclear what changes it proposes and how they could affect electricity prices for households and other consumer groups.
How tariffs are currently calculated
Electricity tariffs in Tajikistan are currently calculated under a methodology approved by government resolution No. 331 of June 22, 2019. The document remains in force and was most recently amended on October 26, 2023.
Like the new draft, the existing methodology is designed to establish clear and transparent tariff-setting rules for the domestic market.
It was developed with consideration of the structure of Tajikistan’s energy sector, international practices, and recommendations from the World Bank, the Asian Development Bank and the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development.
The methodology determines the revenue energy companies require to operate. The calculation includes operating and maintenance expenses, equipment depreciation, returns on invested capital and other planned costs.
Separate provisions regulate tariffs for electricity generation and transmission, as well as the submission, review and approval of tariff applications.
The document also sets out how revenues and tariffs are calculated for companies involved in electricity generation, transmission and distribution, and how the final tariff for consumers is formed.
Does the new methodology mean higher tariffs?
The preparation of a new methodology does not automatically mean that electricity prices will rise.
Tariffs are approved separately by the government following a proposal from the authorized state body.
The current tariffs were introduced under government resolution No. 709 of December 29, 2025, and took effect on February 1, 2026. The household tariff increased by 17% to 41.37 dirams per kilowatt-hour.
In mid-July, the Antimonopoly Service told Asia-Plus that it had not received an official proposal from the Ministry of Energy and Water Resources to raise tariffs again in 2026 or 2027.
However, the agency did not rule out a future review of electricity prices if production costs change.
The Antimonopoly Service previously said the last increase was linked to energy companies’ financial obligations to creditors, higher wages for industry workers, rising production costs, and increased prices for equipment and spare parts.
The possible impact of the new methodology on future electricity tariffs will become clearer after the document is published and adopted.
