Yes.
According to Mobile Pathways, which compiles federal immigration data, 2.6% of asylum applicants in February 2026 were granted asylum, down from 3.4% in January.
The downward trend is corroborated by Syracuse University’s TRAC, which found that the asylum grant rate was 4.8% in February and 6.5% in January. The FY2026 asylum grant rate is 9.7% so far, significantly less than the 23.8% in FY2025 and the 38% yearly average since 2001.
Some pointed to the administration’s authorization of military lawyers to serve as deportation judges to explain the falling rate; the average asylum grant rate of 29 such judges is less than half the national rate.
Another vital factor in case outcomes is representation; 80% of unrepresented immigration court cases result in removal. Oklahoma had the third-worst rate of representation at 28% of cases, less than half the national rate of 61%.
Oklahoma Watch partners with Gigafact to produce fact briefs — bite-sized fact checks of trending claims.
Sources
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